Next week, Q3 ’24 earnings start and the majority of the interest on the part of investors will be Friday, October 11th’s financial services earnings, from JPMorgan Chase & Co all generate positive EPS attribution, particularly for the bigger banks.
The regional banks will likely only start to outperform when the Treasury yield curve steepens and the Treasuries bought for bank portfolios, begin to “ride the yield curve”. saw it’s quarterly bump this week to $266.66 from $257.47 last week, or roughly the amount that was expected in last week’s update.The SP 500 earnings yield jumped to 4.66% with the quarterly bump versus the 4.48% last week;
It’s not a “sell everything’ tell, but it’s clear that the sell-side may be pulling in their horns on expected Q3 ’24 SP 500 EPS growth.For the SP 500 as a whole, EPS growth is expected at 5% in Q3 ’24, on 4.7% revenue growth.This blog will be out with a JP Morgan preview before Friday morning, along with some other financial names, but this blog doesn’t model Blackrock or Wells Fargo.
That’s still healthy growth, and that likely continues to bide well for continued health in consumer credit metrics like credit card chargeoffs, home equity, auto loan delinquencies, etc., etc.None of this is a recommendation or advice, but only an opinion. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. All SP 500 EPS and revenue data is sourced from LSEG. Investing can and does involve the loss of principal, even for short periods of time.