Goldman Sachs strategist Cormac Conners advised institutional money managers to consider hedging portfolios against a significant market downdraft. The methods for this type of protection aren’t advisable for all investors, but Mr. Connors’ research report is a warning to all market participants to remain vigilant against growing risks.
The S&P 500′s 14.1 per cent year to date has been famously driven by a small number of megacap stocks. Goldman Sachs believes the narrowness of the rally increases the risk of a market decline, provided reason number two to buy protection. Goldman Sachs estimates that current stock prices discount U.S. GDP growth of 2.0 per cent. The firm’s economists, however, expect only 1.0 per cent growth in the second half of 2023, leaving equities vulnerable to revenue shortfalls as growth slows.
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