The Canadian equity market is expected to continue its growth in 2025 despite lingering political uncertainties, according to experts. However, investors should brace for increased volatility and exercise patience as the pace of gains is anticipated to be more moderate. Angelo Kourkafas, senior investment strategist at Edward Jones, states that the current bull market has strong foundations for continuation in the new year, despite risks such as tariff threats from the U.S.
and domestic political uncertainties in Canada. Kourkafas highlights ongoing economic growth, rising corporate profits, and the prospect of gradually declining interest rates as key factors supporting the market. The S&P/TSX composite index reached record highs in 2024, surging 18 percent for the year. Kourkafas predicts this upward trend will persist in 2025, but with likely increased volatility and a slower pace of growth. Potential risks to the Canadian index's growth in 2025 include ongoing tariff threats from Donald Trump, which could negatively impact business investments, and the overvaluation of certain tech stocks in the U.S. market, fueled by enthusiasm for artificial intelligence. Despite these concerns, many analysts remain optimistic about the TSX's prospects. Brianne Gardner, senior wealth manager of Velocity Investment Partners at Raymond James Ltd., believes that rising corporate profits, robust earnings across sectors, and lower interest rates from the Bank of Canada will propel the equity market toward new record highs. She points to strong commodity prices, particularly in the energy and materials sectors, as drivers of growth in 2025
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