Treasury bills, epicenter of market's debt-ceiling worries, reflect doubts about a resolution

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Worries about the potential for a resolution in the U.S. debt ceiling crystallize into volatile trading of the two-month Treasury bill on Friday.

Worries about whether a U.S. debt-ceiling resolution can be reached were reflected in volatile trading of short-term government bills, with investors and traders bailing on the two-month maturity on Friday after a fresh warning from U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen.The 2-month Treasury bill sold off, pushing the corresponding rate up 32.6 basis points to 4.865% and on its way toward undoing the 43.

A meeting scheduled to take place on Friday between President Joe Biden and congressional leaders was postponed until next week, though the delay was couched as a “positive development” by one source. And on Friday, Yellen told Bloomberg Television that “we have to default on some obligation” if Congress fails to lift the $31.4 trillion statutory borrowing limit, “whether it’s Treasuries or payments to Social Security recipients.

Friday’s reversal reflects “nervous selling on the fear that these bills won’t get paid out if the debt ceiling doesn’t get resolved,” said Tom di Galoma, managing director and co-head of global rates trading for global financial services firm BTIG.

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