Investing -- The sharp rise in Treasury yields have been flagged as headwind for stocks, but analysts at UBS believe that ongoing Federal Reserve rate cuts and the promise of artificial intelligence may provide a cushion for stocks to continue their bullish run.
The bullish backdrop for stocks come even as yield on 10-year US Treasuries climbed 60 basis points since the start of October. Rising Treasury yields are usually cause for concern for equities investors as attractive yields tend to present an alternative to stocks while also lowering the current value of future cash flows.hardly flinched and remains about 2% below its recent record high because the reason why yields are rising matters, the analysts said.
"While markets have been anticipating slightly higher inflation in the wake of Donald Trump’s election victory, much of the rise in yields has been driven by hopes of stronger economic growth," they added. "Markets have been revising up expectations for cash flows—more than offsetting a slightly less favorable discount rate," the analysts said, forecasting further upside for the S&P 500.
France Dernières Nouvelles, France Actualités
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