Jefferies on tanker stocks following U.S. sanctions on Iranian oil exports

Investing.com -- Tanker stocks rallied sharply on Tuesday after the U.S. Treasury imposed sanctions on 21 additional vessels transporting Iranian crude, including 10 very large crude carriers .

Jefferies maintains a bullish outlook on tanker stocks, citing attractive valuations, improving sentiment, and a stronger winter demand season. The firm highlights DHT Holdings in 2024, a sharp increase from 0.3 mb/d between 2019 and 2022, fueled by muted sanction enforcement and reliance on shadow fleets. Most of these exports head to China, pressuring other producers like Saudi Arabia, whose exports have declined to 6.0 mb/d in 2024 from 6.5 mb/d in 2023.

Should sanctions further constrain Iran’s crude exports to levels seen from 2019-2022, global tanker utilization could rise from 85% to 95%, significantly tightening market conditions.

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