The gold complex came under more pressure this week on the reiteration by the US, UK, and European central banks that they are willing to do whatever it takes to combat inflation at the Annual ECB Forum on Wednesday. This was followed by more selling into quarter-end on Thursday, despite U.S. 10-year Treasury yields moving below 3%.
Getting inflation back to the Fed's 2% target will involve "some pain," the increasingly frustrated Fed chair reiterated, but noted that "the worst pain would be from failing to address this high inflation and allowing it to become persistent." Moreover, the sharp decline in U.S. 10-year Treasury bond yields this week is threatening to cause the yield curve between ten-year and two-year bond yields to invert. A drop of the shorter yield over the longer yield is another sign of recession.
The recent decline in yields supports gold but at the same time, risk aversion is pushing commodity prices to the downside and the U.S. dollar higher. Although Gold Futures managed to end Q2 above the key $1800 level, the safe-haven metal printed its worst quarter in five as the U.S. dollar hovered near a recent two-decade peak and posted its best quarter in over seven years.
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