, ProFrac absorbed these smaller frackers into its network. In each case, they brought additional market share, and in the case of U.S. Well Services, new technology in the form of “E-fleet,” electric frac technology. It's also bought a bunch of little to medium-sized sand companies this year; Performance Proppants, SP Silica of Monahans, Monarch Silica and Signal Peak of Monahans, were all snapped up in the space of a year or so.
It is estimated that ProFrac has about 12% of the North American pumping market. This corresponds fairly well to an analyst’s estimate of 35 active fleets in Q2. If you take my quick and dirty average of 274 active fleets for the quarter, that figure gives you 12.7%, so we are in the ballpark. The market has deteriorated to an average of 258 active fleets so far in Q3, so using that 12.7% as a guideline, ACDC's share has fallen to about 33 fleets or a drop of two in Q3.
Risks to this thesis are primarily the fragility of the oil price ramp since early July. This has been driven by a massive decline in U.S. and global storage, as noted by Eric Nuttall of Nine Point Partners, noting in a recent Twitter posting that U.S. inventories will exit 2023 at ~. This has enabled the oil market to look past worries-China recovery, and the U.S. Fed funds rate increases primarily, which have kept a lid on oil prices over the summer.
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