Goldman Sachs says companies with strong balance sheets are not only safe investments today, but also unexpectedly cheap.
Companies with weaker balance sheets outperformed throughout the just-ended bull market thanks to low interest rates, but that's changing abruptly because it looks like a recession is beginning. David Kostin, Goldman's chief US equity strategist, has a comprehensive financial metric to find the companies with the best chance of staying afloat as the economy stalls and spending dries up.The bull market of the 2010s was a great time to invest in companies with weaker balance sheets. And referring to the unprecedented run in the past tense will take some getting used to.
For much of the 11-year streak, those companies outperformed "safer" companies with stronger balance sheets. Some were very strong growers, while low interest rates helped keep many others alive by offering traditional financial security, such as less debt and more cash on hand. This chart shows how dramatic that leadership was, and how extreme it grew in recent years — right up until recent months, when views of a slowdown became more prevalent. That's when it started to trend back upward.Compustat, FactSet, Haver Analytics, Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
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