Clover Health SPAC plans and growth projections for Medicare - Business Insider

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Clover Health laid out ambitious growth plans as part of its $3.7 billion deal, but they rely on an untested new Medicare experiment

enrolled in Medicare Advantage plans, and for the thousands signing up daily as they turn 65. Startups like Clover are facing off against industry giants like UnitedHealthcare, Humana, and Aetna., Palihapitiya laid out his expectations of growth for Clover. By 2021, Clover's membership is projected to be 273,000 people, roughly five times what it was at the middle of this year. Clover. That in turn would lead to revenue of $880 million, roughly double the company's 2019 figures.

The new program is a test to find new ways to lower costs for the federal Medicare program, drawing in part from lessons learned through Medicare Advantage, in which insurers apply to participate., Clover said that it has already agreed to care for 200,000 seniors through the direct contracting program next year, and it expects that will grow to 450,000 by 2023. By contrast, it estimates it will cover 139,000 Medicare Advantage members that year.

"We're very enthusiastic about that, and we think there's a lot of potential," Toy said. He declined to discuss further details until the program and Clover's participation in it is finalized. 2020 is shaping up to be a pivotal year for health insurance startups. Over the years, Clover has raked in $925 million in funding from investors, including a $500 million round in January 2019.

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