How far can mining stocks fall?

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And drop hard even while the underlying metal price hasn't moved.A steep 50% dive can be followed by a 500% rise.However, because of cyclicality… massive amounts of share trading and capital are required to put in tops and bottoms.In a previous edition of Katusa's Investment Insights, we profiled a Dark Market Secret – called Shareholder Turnover.You can run any number of analytical tools, add trendlines or your favorite indicators and try to confirm data.

Again, this ratio points out that if we are in a structural shift, we are nowhere near out of the woods yet. What I find interesting about this is that since 1995, the bull market turnover ratios are considerably larger than the bear market turnover ratios .The point of the above analysis is to show what can happen in a global recession to share prices.

None of these outcomes are good for investors. If the global economy experiences a sharp but quick recession, the rate of turnover could be less.Where is the New Capital Going to Come From to Buy Mining Stocks?

 

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Stocks fall amid recession worries; Euro tumbles - BNN BloombergUS index futures and European equities fell as concern over the possibility of a recession outweighed optimism over US-China talks aimed at tariff reductions.
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