Posthaste: Why Canada's job market is not as 'healthy' as it seems

this month to further cool the economy and inflation. The unemployment rate fell to five per cent, one of the lowest readings on record.

What has changed is that the hours that people actually work are well below pre-pandemic levels because of higher levels of absenteeism. “If vacation time was not still running below pre-pandemic norms, lost hours due to sickness and family needs alone would be equivalent to requiring around 230,000 additional employees,” said the economists.That means the actual supply of labour that the economy is getting from a 5 per cent jobless rate is “noticeably less” than it would have been before 2020. Because of the lost hours, the economy is currently getting labour supply equal to a 6 per cent jobless rate, pre-pandemic.

Sectors where the work can’t be done at home, such as education, manufacturing and construction, have been hit the hardest by this shortfall. And when employers have to hire more staff to cover for those who are away, it further tightens the labour market and increases wage pressures.

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