Kenanga lowers TNB’s earnings outlook for FY2023

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Research house projects a reduced core net profit exceeding RM4.1 billion in FY2023 but keeps ‘outperform’ call.

Tenaga Nasional’s core profit after tax and minority interests for H1 FY2023 stood at RM1.8 billion, marking a 23.9% year-on-year drop.

This forecast was supported by the fact that lower fuel costs have led to a 47% reduction in its imbalance cost pass-through receivables from the record high of RM16.9 billion in Q4 FY2022, said the research house in a note today. HLIB had highlighted TNB has consistently reported reduced ICPT accruals, with RM2.9 billion in Q2 FY2023, compared to RM3.6 billion in Q1 FY2023 and RM6.4 billion in Q4 FY2022, aligning with the ongoing decline in worldwide fuel prices.

“TNB has fully recovered the government’s committed RM10.4 billion subsidies for H1 FY2023, and management guided [that] the RM4.7 billion will be recovered for July-Dec 2023, in equal instalments,” it said.HLIB has upheld its “buy” call for TNB, keeping the TP unchanged at RM11.75, derived from DCF analysis, citing expectations of consistent stability in earnings from FY2023 to FY2025.

 

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