) results on Wednesday afternoon. Notably, the stock's implied volatility for $130 calls expiring on August 30 surged above 110% yesterday.The market is betting on the stock going higher after the results, with the 1-week 105% moneyness IV trading at 110% and the 95% moneyness IV at 108%. While the 1.9% spread between the puts and calls isn’t at its lowest level over the past year, it’s still low. This indicates the market’s mindset, with strong demand to own upside in the stock.
With Nvidia, we may see a similar IV crush following their earnings release. However, instead of the usual scenario where puts lose value and contribute to a market rise, this time, it’s the calls that might get burned. This could lead to a situation where the stock trades lower after the results are announced.
Of course, as with economic data, if the earnings report is strong enough, it might not matter—the stock could still rise. However, it could significantly drop if the results only come in line or fall short of the market’s heightened expectations.Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors.
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