President-elect Donald Trump’s return to the White House is seen fueling a dealmaking revival that could bolster investment banking income to $316 billion globally next year, a jump of about 5.7% on 2024, data seen by Reuters shows.
Trump’s pro-business leanings should help an already thriving U.S. economy, which could in turn encourage greater volumes of cross-border dealmaking and investment from European firms chasing growth, bankers said. Trump’s administration could be particularly conducive to M&A because he is seen as likely to wave more deals through that had been blocked under the previous administration over competition or U.S. strategic importance concerns, bankers said.
Credit and emerging markets macro-related products are likely to see the biggest jump on 2024 figures next year, with a 6% increase each while trading in interest rate-related products could shrink as much as 3.5%. New York-based pay consultancy Johnson Associates said last month it expected banker salaries to rise in almost every business unit, with the exception of real estate investing.
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