The Thai currency is forecast to average 32.50 to a US dollar this year, stronger than the 36.68 the ministry predicted in October, officials said at a briefing in Bangkok on Friday.
Thailand is likely to generate 1.2 trillion baht in tourism revenue from an estimated 27.5 million travelers to the Southeast Asian nation this year, the ministry said. That’s significantly higher than the 360 billion baht in receipts last year from 11.2 million visitors, it said. A stronger currency and a global economic slowdown will hurt Thai exports this year, the ministry said while slashing its growth forecast for overseas shipments to 0.4% from 2.5% in October. Imports are set to drop 0.1% this year, compared with a prediction of 3% growth earlier.
While the buoyancy in tourism from Chinese reopening is seen as a tailwind to growth, monetary policy tightening in major economies, geo-political conflicts and the global economic slowdown are among the risk factors, Pornchai Thiraveja, director of the Fiscal Policy Office at the ministry, told a briefing.
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