For the last 40 years, interest rates have gone pretty much one way: Down. In the past 18 months, however, rates have crept up, and many are worried they will stay high. In other words, reality is catching up with the bond market – and with the myths that have grown up around it. Here are three of those myths.
The “risk-free asset” appears in asset-pricing models, and is considered the barometer of risk for the entire market. But what “risk-free” means exactly is not so obvious. It’s not the case that anything that has a low probability of default – US Treasury bonds, for example – is risk-free. When yields were low, investing in a 10-, 30-, or even 50-year bond seemed like a free lunch, a bit of extra yield at low risk.