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Here's how a Comey-like October surprise would impact Biden's campaign - Business Insider

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Here's how much of a hit Biden's presidential chances would take from a Comey-like October surprise

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US President Barack Obama speaks about the investigation into the mass shooting in Orlando, Florida during a meeting with top officials, including US Vice President Joe Biden , Secretary of Homeland Security Jeh Johnson and FBI Director James Comey , in the Oval Office of the White House in Washington, DC, June 13, 2016.

According to FiveThirtyEight's Nate Silver, the Comey letter cost Clinton 4 percentage points of support in key states and nearly 2 points nationally. If a similar event were to happen to Democratic nominee Joe Biden, he is still projected to lead President Donald Trump nationally and in most of the tipping point states.

Due to much higher rates of early and mail-in voting in 2020, the chances of an event upending Biden's campaign decrease as it nears Election Day.

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We must make the margin of victory so high that marginal support for right-wing groups will drop off. Let's shoot for 20%. BidenHarrisToSaveAmerica

If Biden is elected, he will raise taxes, tank the recovering economy & cause a contraction so massive it will rival the Great Depression of 1929. Millions will lose their jobs, homes, & become homeless. Retirement accounts will lose 60-80 percent of their value. Be afraid.

Just how bad is Comey? You think no one briefed him on the FBI finding out Prince Andrew and Clinton visited this island?

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