Moody’s Predicts 3-Month Writers Strike Could Hurt Media Companies' Credit Ratings

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A Moody's report predicts the Hollywood writers strike could surpass a 14-week stoppage 15 years ago, and damage a wide array of entertainment companies if it drags on. Even a settlement will have credit implications, especially for weaker companies.

A long strike could impact the already struggling movie theater business, where some major exhibitor chains went bankrupt during the pandemic lockdown. The industry has only slowly and partly recovered, with U.S. ticket sales still lagging far behind pre-pandemic levels.

By contrast, the report suggests that the least vulnerable operators are “global streaming platforms that are well positioned financially, and major studios and broadcasters with deeper and more globally diverse production and libraries, that are well-diversified beyond TV and film and have relatively strong balance sheets.

“This is because the dispute comes when these companies are under pressure to mitigate the secular decline in linear outlets, and show they can operate streaming platforms at a profit,” the report said. “We estimate an improved three-year contract for writers will ultimately cost media companies for which we have credit ratings $250 million to $350 million per year.”

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One Hollywood Writer on the Industry’s ‘Dire’ Situation - The Journal. - WSJ PodcastsThousands of Hollywood writers went on strike this week after failing to reach a new contract with studios. The dispute was caused, in part, by the industry’s shift to streaming, which writers say has left them shortchanged. Michael Schur is co-creator of “Parks and Recreation” and was a writer for “The Office” and “Saturday Night Live.” He tells us what’s behind the first writers strike in over 15 years. Further Reading and Watching: - Hollywood Writers Strike Might Give Studios Chance to Slash Costs - Late-Night Shows Go Dark Amid Writers Strike Further Listening: - Does the Future of Streaming Look More Like Cable? - Netflix Turns to Ads
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