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A history of stocks with astronomical price-to-sales ratios doesn’t bode well for Nvidia

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The A.I.-driven run in Nvidia's stock this year bodes poorly for its future based on the valuation patterns of other shares that reached such heights.

The A.I.-driven run in Nvidia's stock this year has lifted its valuation to an eye-watering level that bodes poorly for its future based on the patterns of other shares that reached such heights. At above 36 times sales, Nvidia's shares are trading at their highest valuation ever, according to Trivariate Research. Adam Parker's research firm looked at all the other times in market history when stocks traded above a 36 price-to-sales ratio and what happened next.

revenue windfall. Annual revenue for Nvidia last year was $26.9 billion. For the four other members of the elite club, annual sales are a minimum of about $200 billion. To be clear, Parker and his firm are not advocating shorting Nvidia's stock any time soon. They were just passing on the historical data to clients. Nvidia "is anything but average," wrote Parker. "We continue to think it is possible Nvidia could be a $2 trillion market cap.

 

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