Chevron just announced a deal to buy Hess that will give it a stake in a major offshore oil-drilling project that could last well over a decade.
The company’s third-quarter results are expected to show improvement from the second quarter, given that oil prices have since risen, but they’ll still be down from 2022 levels. Chevron is expected to report earnings per share of $3.70 on revenue of $51 billion, down from earnings per share of $5.56 on revenue of $67 billion last year.
Chevron stock has been struggling since it peaked in January at $189. Ahead of earnings it was trading around $154. Wall Street appears skeptical of the Hess deal, which valued the company at a greater multiple of its earnings than other recent oil-and-gas deals. Chevron says it paid more because Hess has a higher growth rate, given a large project that’s now under way off the coast of Guyana. But mergers come with risks, and the stock price has been sliding since the deal.
Newsletter Sign-up Other risks abound for the stock. Chevron is pursuing several projects in areas of the world now subject to sanctions or conflicts. That includes a large natural-gas project in the Mediterranean near Israel that was stalled after the Hamas attacks earlier this month. The expansion of a project in Kazakhstan—an increasingly important oil producer since the war in Ukraine curtailed Russia’s exports to Europe—has also experienced delays.
Chevron is also pursuing oil drilling projects in Venezuela, where the U.S. has lately agreed to ease sanctions in exchange for the government agreeing to hold elections. That thawing of relations could open an opportunity for Chevron to expand drilling there. Investors will be interested in how those projects are going, and whether Chevron expects to be able to expand its international operations.
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