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JPMorgan says go short European bank stocks as headwinds build

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Jamie Chisholm is a markets reporter based in London.

Deteriorating economic conditions with the likelihood that interest rates have peaked will impact the earnings of European banks, and the sector should be sold short, said JPMorgan.

A number of reasons were given for the downgrade. First, JPMorgan reckons that bond yields will peak this quarter and that will cause bank earnings to struggle as net interest income contracts. “From the regulatory side, the sector might not enjoy as favorable a backdrop as it did recently, with buybacks and capital return to shareholders as good as they get. Also, the risk of punitive taxes is elevated – it is being discussed in a number of countries,” JPMorgan added.

U.K.-listed HSBC HSBA, -0.18% gave up early gains to trade off 0.3% after delivering third quarter results that included a $500 million provision related to commercial property in China, and despite announcing a further $3 billion in share buybacks.

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