) earnings estimates are lagging behind the S&P 500, according to data from an Empirical Research Partners analysis, leaving them undervalued as more earnings could drive them up. Yahoo Finance markets reporter
And you see 75 basis points worth of cuts this year with 50 basis points of that being front loaded in September.Well, I think the first thing we have to take into consideration and Powell himself told us this at Jackson Hole last week is that this is still very much a federal reserve that is data dependent.
Yes, Jackson, who helped to confirm that uh cooling in, we saw that in CP I not too long ago, easing wage growth.And when, for so long, the mag seven has been the only game in town.And so it, it's, it's so many different things, right? The structure of their debt makes it that every time the fed has turned the screws, so to speak, they've gotten slapped around a little bit.
Because so much of market returns up until this point have been underpinned on perfection there for the, let's call it S and P 493 though, those other companies that has, as of yet sort of failed to, to, to show up and meaningfully deliver.I don't know or caring a little bit less, I guess about just how good those, those earnings are.So kind of depends on where you're looking, I think for those mag seven names, we should be pretty, uh, uh, uh, pretty scrupulous, I guess.
You know, when I have conversations about politics with, with our clients, you know, the first thing that we always say is keep your head down.The economy grows, the stock market grows, which is, I mean, back, you can back that up with a lot of, a lot of data.So to put a little bit more of a, of a fine point on it.
And so if the fed comes out and cuts by 50 basis points in September, it is telling us, hey, we're looking at all this data that you're also looking at that you're also a little bit concerned about and we acknowledge that and we want to do something about that. And I think what, what I sort of get here when I look at a home Depot Coke, Walmart mcdonald's Nike again, we've been talking a lot about the market becoming a little bit more comfortable with the consumer story over the last month and I think the Dow is sort of telling us that story as well.When you look across the board here, it's not overly indexed to tech like the S and P 500.
Is he Cio David Steinbach, David, you know, when I think of retail real estate, I think of abandoned shopping malls, ghost town, brick and mortars, explain what you're seeing in this space and why now is a good time for investors to get in on it.First, you know, it is interesting to think about the, the fed fund rate and what that means for consumers.
It is gonna be mostly grocery anchored, open air um spaces that activate they're experience based also spaces that have taken advantage of the omni channel uh presence that a lot of uh online retailers have, have really used and still look at whole Foods Amazon that that dynamic has driven footfall. But as you look across the space, what, what verticals or sub sectors wouldn't be winning here, what, what would you avoid?
I think both are important and they both have different dynamics that are really important for investors to, to be zeroed and all they, they, they're driven by different things. And I keep getting analysis from forecasting firms that are trying to figure out what would the impact of Harris's plan, Trump's plan beyond the economy.And I can just tick through a couple of reasons why.Of course, we know that that is inflation that pushes, that's a tax that makes imported goods higher to Americans.And if you want to know how much that is, that is more than twice all the food inflation, the typical family budget has had to deal with over the last three years.
Economists forecast that number to tick up slightly to 100.9 giving us more insight into the health of the consumer.
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