The US stock markets have steadily climbed since the 2008 financial crisis, achieving a remarkable 740% growth between 2009 and 2024. This upward trajectory, while occasionally disrupted by events like COVID-19 and the Ukraine War, has consistently rebounded, defying recession predictions and showcasing market resilience.’s performance since 2008 is illustrated in the chart below, highlighting some of key events that potentially impacted the market.
Therefore, policymakers and central banks often prioritize controlling inflation to maintain stable economic conditions and foster sustainable growth. Measures such as raising interest rates, adjusting monetary policies, and implementing targeted interventions may be employed to curb inflation and mitigate its negative effects on businesses and consumer spending.
As inflation began and continued to decline over the past 2 years. The FED pivoted in December of 2023, stopped raising rates and kept the markets on hold anticipating the FED’s first rate cut which took place on September 18th, 2024 when the FED cut interest rates by 50 basis points, setting the current FED Funds Rate at the range of 4.75% – 5.0%.
Interest Rate Uncertainty: The market is divided on future Fed rate cuts, causing uncertainty and potential volatility. Price action is currently finding resistance along its Monthly R1 standard calculation of 5904, a weekly close price near the 5780 area, will complete a bearish engulfing candle on the weekly timeframe.
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