, Bob Farrell and his 10 investment rules were discussed, which elicited several email questions asking,I often forget how old I have become, and the investing legends of my youth are no longer there and are lost to the sands of time. While I have written several articles discussing the investing legend’s famous rules, which have served us well. the last time I had a deep discussion of Bob’s rules was in 2016; much has happened since then.
The next chart shows the percentage deviation of the market’s current price from the 52-week moving average. Excesses, such as what we see in the market now, can go much further than logic dictates. However, as stated above, these excesses are never worked off simply by trading sideways.The chart below shows when the markets broke out of their directional trends—the corrections came soon after that.The average individual investor is bullish at market tops and bearish at market bottoms.
The longer-term decline continues at a slower and more grinding pace as the fundamentals deteriorate. Dow Theory suggests that bear markets have three phases with two down legs and a reflexive rebound.There were plenty of opportunities to sell into counter-trend rallies during the decline and reduce risk exposure.9) When all the experts and forecasts agree, something else will happen.
“Resisting – and thereby achieving success as a contrarian – isn’t easy. Things combine to make it difficult;
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