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But after quantitative strategists at Nomura peeked beneath its surface, they concluded that investor fears about risks — not their bullishness — explains the outperformance. To understand how risk aversion is driving momentum's success, Mezrich distinguished between the basket of stocks that investors are buying and the basket they're betting against . He found that the excess returns of both baskets were similar until May.
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Here’s why the bond market isn’t as worried about a recession as you thinkSome investors say the recent decline in Treasury yields may not be indicative of a looming economic slowdown. The FED is eventually going to have to cut rates and QE. They're holding off as long as they can. At 2% as the 'new' normal they've got even smaller margins than in 08.
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