threatens to send the yield on the US 10-year bond – which influences borrowing costs for consumers and businesses around the world – above the critically important 3 per cent threshold.
Significantly, in those seven decades, the US sharemarket suffered only one bear market when the US 10-year bond yield was below 3 per cent, but 10 when it climbed above that level.comes as investors fear that central bankers’ hesitancy in responding to growing price pressures has allowed the inflation genie out of the bottle.
With US inflation running at a 40-year high, investors believe the Fed will be forced to increase short-term rates quickly. They expect Fed will lift its key interest rate to around 3 per cent by the end of the year, an abrupt increase from its present level of between 0.25 per cent and 0.5 per cent.Still, some analysts warn that central bankers will be reluctant to raise short-term interest rates aggressively enough to tame rampant inflation, which hit 8.
The sharp rise in global bond yields is closing the curtain on an extraordinary era when bonds traded at negative yields.
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