Equities headed toward their worst two-day rout since June, following a surge that drove the S&P 500 to its best start to a third quarter since. Tech shares underperformed as bond yields climbed, with the 10-year rate hitting 3%. The Cboe Volatility Index, or VIX, soared. The dollar rose. The move away from risky assets spurred further unraveling of the recent meme frenzy, sending shares like Bed Bath & Beyond Inc. and GameStop Corp. tumbling.
Jerome Powell’s speech on Friday will mark the highlight of the prestigious event in Wyoming’s Grand Teton mountains, which has been used by Fed chairs as a venue for making key policy announcements. He’s expected to reiterate the central bank’sto keep raising rates to get inflation under control, but will probably stop short of signaling how big officials will go when they meet next month.
“With real rates still rising and prospects for 2023 rate cuts fading in the bond market, stock valuations look extremely stretched, especially if as we suspect, policy-driven economic slowing will prove an obstacle to currently optimistic 2023 earnings estimates,” Lisa Shalett, chief investment officer at Morgan Stanley Wealth Management, said in a note. “Stocks are overbought. Sit it out for now.
Investors are also waking up to the looming acceleration of the Fed’s balance-sheet reduction. So-called quantitative tightening kicks into top gear next month, and will add to pressure on riskier assets which have benefited from ample liquidity. For Morgan Stanley’s Andrew Sheets, that’s one reason why dollar-denominatedStrategists at Bank of America Corp.
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