Markets have been volatile amid concerns about a looming recession, even though Fed officials indicated in the minutes of their July meeting released on Wednesday that they would adopt a less aggressive stance if inflation starts to recede.Markets have been volatile amid concerns about a looming recession, even though Fed officials indicated in the minutes of their July meeting released on Wednesday that they would adopt a less aggressive stance if inflation starts to recede.
“The minutes were uniformly hawkish in our view,” Self added. “It’s clear that among all the voting members that curing inflation is the No. 1 choice and they’re going to do whatever is necessary as far as raising rates to get there. We think they’re using the labor market as cover.” “Since the Fed’s July 27 meeting, the two-year yields have been up 43 basis points, meaning that the bond market thinks they’re going to raise rates higher for a longer period of time, whereas the stock market has been up 5%, meaning the market thinks they’ll raise rates relatively quickly and maybe even decrease rates next year,” Self added.
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