But the results are lopsided, with the end of more recent interest rate hiking cycles generating enormous gains over the ensuing six and 12 months. For example, the S&P 500 surged 35% in the year after the Fed's last rate hike in 1995, and 28% in the year after the Fed's last rate hike in 2018.but stopping before it broke the economy," NDR said.
"More often than not, the Fed causes a recession. In some cases, like 1981 and 2000, the economy fell into recession in a few months. In other cases, like in 1989 and 2006, it took well over a year," NDR said. "The better stock market performance after the end of recent tightening cycles has not translated into small-caps consistently beating large-caps," NDR said. NDR created a high and low quality basket of stocks based on earnings, dividend growth, and overall stability.
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