The recent increase in oil prices could provide a boost to London's prime office real estate market, according to Morgan Stanley. The Wall Street bank said that historically Middle Eastern sovereign wealth funds have bought up landmark buildings in central London not too long after a steady and sustained rise in crude prices. According to their analysis, higher oil prices tend to correlate with increased demand for top-tier commercial properties.
The International Monetary Fund has estimated that the GCC-member Saudi Arabia's government budget breaks even at about $80 a barrel. When oil prices rise above this threshold, the excess profits are invested by its sovereign wealth fund, PIF, in assets around the world, including tech stocks. Morgan Stanley says that in the past, a similar rise in oil prices has preceded strong 12-month share price performance for London office REITs .
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