And of course, there are stocks that will outperform like what we saw on Monday in defense companies.The 80-month moving average is a longer-term business cycle of about 6-7 years.
A strong rally in TLT where SPY begins to underperform could signal risk off. Moreover, it could negatively impact equities as fears of recession or hyperinflation kick in.In the commodities world, DBA and Invesco DBC offer a good way to assess the spectrum of raw materials and inflation.DBA on the left is underperforming SPY and in a caution phase trading under the 50-DMA .DBC on the right, more oil and precious metals focused, also underperforms the SPY.
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