Venture capital has significantly changed since its peak in early 2021. Low interest rates helped investors deploy significant capital into unicorn startups, helping them reach new heights and make their public debuts. However, as the pandemic's effects started to take a toll and inflation began to strain available capital, more companies took longer to list and hit the market.
And with me, I want you to make the you know, I. I want you to think about it because I am is a fascinating subject.I ran a global macro fund and fund. If you tried to go with the herd and you were making money with other people and you weren't so at odds with the business cycle, do you think it might have worked out?Because clearly there was a little bit of burnout.The 2008 you know, the worst financial returns in 100 years?The authorities came down and just loaded the sector with a profound degree of regulatory bureaucracy, and it raised your break even assets under management.
OK, And so in 1980 right when gold was 850 bucks, what was the total value of gold expressed as a percentage of the economy.Do you know what the number is?OK, um so it was 20% of GDP 20.5% of global GDP. Well, I'm saying to you, like, if gold tripled, the value of gold would be greater than the capitalization of US stocks, and that kind of feels like a bit of a reach.
But there was a psychosis that people were concerned about inflation, and the US economy was recovering inflation again.
And if it strikes a hun If it if it goes to like 100 and 40 I think we could see 100 and 40 over the next two years.So you, if you're early to investing, how can you misbehave or should you misbehave?I heard you only invest about 10% of your net worth in stocks.I'm saying, Like for most people, uh, the majority of your wealth is you bought a house 10 years ago, 15 years ago, 20 years ago.
They sell at a price which reflects heightened risk and and the risk concerning the Japanese yen in terms of being a store of value. I'm really interested in this, but I'm wondering if the average US citizen or investor I should just say, should care about what's going on with the end. These interest rates are really high, and Japan is under pressure to raise interest rates because they've been at zero or negative for like, 23 decades.
But US rates of five and a quarter, so Japan actually would go bankrupt if they raise interest rates.
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