Trump Administration's Start Amidst Investor Optimism and Market Risks

The new Trump administration is poised to commence with significant measures including mass deportations of undocumented immigrants and threats of triggering a global trade war. Despite ongoing conflicts in Europe and the Middle East, bond traders are reducing their expectations for lower interest rates due to potential inflation risks. Surprisingly, investors remain largely unperturbed, as evidenced by the S&P 500 Index setting another record recently.

The small-cap Russell 2000 Index has nearly doubled the S&P 500’s performance in the last two weeks, indicating heightened risk-taking in the market. Despite these risks, the Cboe Volatility Index suggests a calm trading environment, which alarms some Wall Street experts. They warn of extreme bullishness and the question of who will buy to keep the market buoyant. The S&P 500 has already set 53 records this year, raising concerns about market exuberance

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