Fed Cuts Rates, but Future Projections Spark Market Sell-Off

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FED,INTEREST RATES,MONETARY POLICY

The Federal Reserve lowered interest rates as expected, but its outlook for future rate cuts sent shockwaves through financial markets.

The Federal Reserve concluded its final FOMC meeting of the year today with a 25 basis point rate cut, setting the benchmark 'Fed funds' rate between 4¼% and 4½%. However, the Fed's forward monetary policy projections for next year triggered widespread selling pressure across financial markets. The impact was immediately visible in precious metals and equities. Gold futures for February delivery dropped $55, representing just over 2%, settling at $2,607.

Silver futures experienced an even steeper decline of 3.22%, falling $0.995 to $29.92.5. U.S. equities reversed their earlier gains dramatically after the Fed's Summary of Economic Projections (SEP) indicated a more conservative approach to rate cuts in the coming year. With the Standard & Poor’s 500 falling over 3% and the NASDAQ composite falling closer to 4% on the day. Jon Faust, who served as a senior advisor to Chairman Powell until earlier this year, accurately predicted that the meeting's significance would lie not in the rate decision itself, but in the Federal Reserve officials' commentary regarding upcoming rate cuts in 2025. As Faust noted,'Right now, either a cut or a hold could be justified. What officials say about the path of the fed-funds rate is likely to be more important than whatever they decide about the December meeting in particular.' Brian Jacobsen, Chief Economist at Annex Wealth Management, suggested that emerging concerns about tariffs might be influencing the Fed's projections, noting their forecast of fewer rate cuts in 2025, slightly higher inflation, and a modest increase in unemployment. He emphasized that the strong economy enables the Federal Reserve to maintain a measured approach to rate cuts. This perspective aligns with Fed Governor Michelle Bowman's recent statement that current economic activity makes it difficult to consider the present interest rate levels as restrictive

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