The 'Great Stay': Job Market Trends Shift From Quits to Retention

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Job Market,Great Stay,Great Resignation

The labor market is experiencing a shift from the 'Great Resignation' of 2021 and 2022 to what economists are calling the 'Great Stay'. With fewer job openings and businesses hesitant to lay off workers, employees are staying in their current positions at higher rates. The decline in job openings is attributed to the Federal Reserve's interest rate hikes, which have made borrowing more expensive and led businesses to reduce expansion and hiring.

The"great resignation" of 2021 and 2022 saw unprecedented numbers of workers quit their jobs amid ample and better-paying job opportunities. Today, it's the"great stay."

" of 2021 and 2022 has morphed into what some labor economists call the"great stay," a job market with low levels of hiring, quits and layoffs. Businesses are loath to lay off workers now after struggling to hire and retain workers just a few years ago.But job openings have declined, reducing the number of quits, which is a barometer of worker confidence in being able to find a new gig. This dynamic is largely due to another factor: the U.S. Federal Reserve's campaign between early 2022 and mid-2023 to raise interest rates to tame high inflation, Pollak said.

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