For stock investors the handoff for 2025 is about as good as it gets, but there are significant potential headwinds. Let's review the state of play going into the new year. Here's the good news first. Market tailwinds into 2025 First and foremost, there is a still-strong economy, with 3% GDP. Second, record profits are expected for a second year in 2025, and not just from the tech sector.
Third, with tech prices near record highs, there is the potential for the collapse of the AI story, as investors may revolt against endless rounds of spending without demonstrable increases in earnings or productivity. A more likely scenario would see tech prices stagnate, even as profits continue to improve, which results in lower valuation levels for technology stocks, and higher valuations for undervalued sectors like health care and materials.
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