) were such a big part of the 15% that the S&P 500 is higher this year on a year to date basis... But you're seeing basically three or four days where Nvidia has not been leading the charge, and the market's done very well. I think that continues throughout the second half of this year."
The Biden administration has been very hostile to Bitcoin, you know, through its various agencies, whether it's the banking and the so called operation chokepoint 2.0 whether it's the sec et cetera back in 2016, she described what she called the high pressure labor market. And the outlier today, Josh is the NASA composite and there is one stock in particular that is the culprit behind that and that we're really zeroing in on and that stock is Invidia.But we've now seen this sort of 3 to 4 day sell off here, call it three days that we have seen this decline of 11% which is the biggest sell off that we've seen in the stock.And I also just wanted to point out what we're seeing in the market cap race here.
The price to sales ratio for the S and P uh for the NVIDIA, is that the highest in the S and P 500 which I found quite surprising the price to earnings ratio at 45 is no, is nowhere near the highest. I think today is a perfect example and I think you guys set this up really well, I think it's a perfect example of a lot of folks being concerned that NVIDIA and arguably NVIDIA Microsoft and Apple were such a big part of the 15% that the S and P 500 hire this year on a year to date basis.Not that 10% down on a stock that's up 140% year to date, uh, minus that 10, um is, is a big fall.
I think we're going to be on pace to not necessarily have that sort of 3.5% GDP growth that we had in the back half of last year, but something like 2.5% which is certainly above mean and likely enough to be driving profits. So we'll be seeing a 2.6 print on the core likely this week that, that 2.6 is going to be close enough for government work for the, for the fed to actually feel comfortable enough in September for their first rate cut.
And so we entered this year thinking maybe we get five or six rate cuts and they'd start as early as March and that dissipated pretty rapidly through the first quarter and yet the market continued to rally. As we talked about, we're gonna be hearing from Janet Yellen a little bit later in the show, we've got the debate coming up later this week.Are you seeing more of a drumbeat for that?Now, I will tell you when it comes down to fiscal policy, the hardest time to talk about that is an election year because neither side of the aisle is going to actually ever say anything about cutting spending.
Um, but you know, what would you in that debate, what would you like to hear come up or what are you gonna be listening for in terms of any kind of direction on economic policy or tariffs or what do you think could be most important? But the, I think simplifying this tax code be, it would go a long way towards saying, ok, we probably raise more revenues and make things more fair.
And I think that's what's kind of coming back to them is people saying, look, you know, you're not really making it easy for the smaller developers to really be able to get access to this huge bounty of, of iphone um users, you know, and, and Europe is about a quarter, last quarter, it was about 25 percent of Apple's earnings.
And therefore long term, I don't think the impact is that big of a deal as far as uh the value of the company and the way people view the stock, I think there are other issues are going to be important for Apple to deal with uh in Europe. The bigger question to me is how is that gonna actually play out if I'm an end user and I'm using these Apple devices?Will I make my choice between, you know, chat GP open A is chat GP T and Google Gemini Pro and uh the meta Lama stuff or is that gonna be a little bit controlled by Apple or will it be region by region?
You think of issues like ad targeting II I was interested though also just kind of a broader question too, Bob because as you mentioned, so, you know, Apple is partnering with open A I and, and now we have these reports that at least, you know, talking to meta.
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