Emerging market FX set for more pain if coronavirus worsens: Reuters poll

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Emerging market currencies are at significant risk of weakening this month as th...

and Swiss franc EURCHF=firm on fears the flu-like virus that has claimed over 400 lives in China could worsen.

“While risk-off moves could trigger additional pressure on the yuan in the short term, a broader drag of the coronavirus on the currency will depend on its lagged economic impact, which is unlikely to be fully unfolded in the following weeks”. South Africa’s currency has bounced back a bit since but is likely to relapse if risks worsen, with plenty of domestic economic challenges building already.

Emerging market peer Argentina is already asking its debt-holders to accept a late but bigger repayment to avoid falling into default.In particular, the Chinese yuan may sink as much as 3% in February if the health crisis aggravates, potentially disrupting international markets, according to replies to a separate question in the poll.

 

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