"The key is whether we have the appropriate level of loan guarantee schemes in place to prevent a very large rise in bankruptcies and very large amounts of fiscal easing to offset the rise in the saving ratios," Credit Suisse wrote.The strategists think fiscal policy "will remain easy," and that "easy money, easy fiscal policy, and central banks encouraging an inflation overshoot will allow inflation to rise" to the neighborhood of between 2.5% and 3%.
The strategists untangled two complex gauges of market returns and value in one of their main reasons for forecasting a market recovery next year. Dividend futures are sophisticated, exchange-traded derivative contracts that allow investors to place bets around a company's future dividend payments to shareholders.
Several companies have pulled back their planned dividend payouts in an effort to preserve cash in recent weeks.
Reason number one, because they’re going to short every move up
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