For B.C.'s forestry industry, unpredictability expected to be the norm in 2022

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Timber supply crunch, volatile weather and legislation seen in 2021 forbearing an increasingly unpredictable future for the forestry industry.

While Spence is retiring when the mill officially closes on Jan. 31, he fears for younger families in the town of just over 13,000.

While forestry has long been in decline — going from comprising eight per cent of the province’s total GDP to two per cent over the last 20 years, according to StatsCan — industry players are looking for clarity on forestry’s long-term direction.Article content But in short time, consumers started holding their cash. Within two months, the same amount of lumber dropped to the mid-$400s by July. As of Dec. 10, it sat at $838.63 US, according to Natural Resources Canada.

B.C.’s competitive advantage has always been its slow-growth lumber, which is stronger than faster-growing wood that is grown in areas of the U.S., according to Phil Burton, a professor in ecosystem science and dynamics at the University of Northern British Columbia. The problem, he said, is the limited availability of such wood remaining.

As such, the actual amount of wood that companies will be able to profitably harvest remains unclear. “If you’re going to be able to build products and you’re going to need to retool your mills to take advantage of new opportunities, you’re going to have to attract investment — and investment doesn’t like uncertainty,” she said.

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