The Market Has Adjusted Its Views of How the Federal Reserve Will Raise Interest Rates

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The Fed is expected to start raising rates next month and not slow down until well into 2023, though the slope of the increases might be a bit gentler.

has added another wrinkle for the Fed. Prices for some commodities such as energy and grains have surged higher as the prospect of a full-blown Russian invasion has intensified. Fed officials will have to weigh the merits of hiking rates to fight inflation against any potential economic slowdown the matter could cause.

Late last week, for instance, JPMorgan Chase chief economist Bruce Kasman said he expects the Fed to hike at each of its next nine meetings.Paulsen said he agrees the Fed should be raising rates but doing so deliberately. "I will be watching the data closely to judge the appropriate size of an increase at the March meeting," Bowman said.

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