Investors are taking money out of U.S. equities to add to their exposure in international stock markets, betting European and emerging markets could benefit from a weaker dollar.
U.S. stocks have staged an impressive rally to start the year, with the S&P 500 index SPX up nearly 5% so far in 2023, but they still lagged behind their peers in the rest-of-world. Mark Haefele, chief investment officer at UBS Global Wealth Management, expects international stocks to deliver a “superior return” to the S&P 500 over the next several market cycles. He advises U.S. investors with a strategic over-exposure to their home market to diversify.
“‘It is heaven, you made it to the U.S.’ — if you have that mindset, you probably need to increase international allocations over time rather than the other way around…it’s only gotten worse because the last 10 years U.S. stocks have done well, so people haven’t rebalanced that…” said Krishna Mohanraj, portfolio manager of Diamond Hill Capital Management, in a phone interview.
“We believe it’s simply too soon, given the enormous steps still to be undertaken by developed market central banks and the traction necessary to achieve recovery in the emerging space. As a result, we continue to favor domestic over international equities, but will place a keen eye on further global developments,” Lynch said in a Tuesday note.
Don't chase the rally ladies and gentlemen. You've been warned.
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