Ditch stocks for bonds because a recession is guaranteed: JPMorgan

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It's time to become defensive with stocks and ditch them for bonds because a recession is coming, says JPMorgan's top strategist

Investors should steer clear of US stocks and pile into bonds as a recession is guaranteed if the Federal Reserve wants to bring inflation back down to its target, according to JPMorgan's top strategist.

US stocks have enjoyed a strong start to the year, with the benchmark indexes S&P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite up 8% and 15%, respectively, largely due to rapidly cooling inflation. US inflation has moderated since mid-2022, coming in at 6.5% in December, thanks to the Fed's aggressive interest-rate hikes. The central bank recently raised the benchmark rate by 25 basis points, taking the cumulative increase since last March to 450 basis points.

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My dad warned me about this half a century ago. Go with AAA corporate bonds. He told me August 15, 1971. He said roughly between 2020 and 2025, which happened a few months ago, that they were going to take the dollar down. Get ready it’s gonna be a bumpy ride.

This guy flip flops like a fish out of water. I'm on the other side of this trade. S&P will get to 4800 by EOY.

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