Hope of a pause in interest rate rises after a softening in quarterly CPI may have helped support markets in the short term.And when consumers are stressed, they spend less.
The retail sector is on the front line of cost-of-living pressures – particularly companies in the discretionary spending space. But with full employment, two-income households, changing behaviours and years of economic prosperity, the traditional lines between staple and discretionary spending are blurring.. Over the past 12 months, they have battled rising cost pressures, overzealous landlords and a brutal employment environment.
Good businesses exhibit conservative balance sheets, strong cash flows and optimum inventory management. The latest half-year results show that in general this sector is ready for what is coming. According to Stockopedia ratings, 58 per cent of cyclical retailers have a quality rank of 80, placing them in the top 20 per cent of stocks on the ASX, making the sector one of our strongest. Quality measures profitability, cash flow, margins, financial risk and fundamental trend.
Signs of strain are already starting to appear. While well-known names including JB Hi-Fi, Lovisa, Premier Investments, Harvey Norman and Super Retail are included in the list of 23, these are some lesser-known names with just as good quality measures to help them face the looming spending cliff.This Australian-based men and women’s casual fashion retailer, with a particular focus on the youth market, has 93 stores and is targeting 100-103 stores by June 30, 2023.
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