'A sharp rebalancing of demand-supply conditions': RBC says GTA housing market lost steam in June

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There was a 'sharp rebalancing of demand-supply conditions' in Toronto’s real estate market last month as the Bank of Canada’s recent decision to resume its rate hiking cycle pushed some buyers to the sidelines, a new report from RBC suggests.

There was a “sharp rebalancing of demand-supply conditions” in Toronto’s real estate market last month as the Bank of Canada’s recent decision to resume its rate hiking cycle pushed some buyers to the sidelines,The report, released last week, notes that home sales fell 6.9 per cent in Toronto in June after soaring by 32 per cent in April and May when the Bank of Canada was keeping its key overnight lending rate on hold.

RBC said in the report that it believes the surge in Toronto home values which pushed benchmark prices up 8.9 per cent since the market reached a “cyclical bottom” in February can’t continue. The bank does concede that “the growing supply hasn’t done much to ease upward price pressure” so far. “We’ve been surprised by the speed with which some markets rebounded this spring,” the report notes. “Our view had been—and in fact remains—that the initial stage of the recovery would be gradual in the face of massive ongoing affordability challenges. Buyers retreating in key markets in June could be sign that the future trajectory will be more measured.”

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