Global stock markets are heading for a correction in coming months, though overall they should post marginal gains between now and the end of 2023, according to a majority of analysts polled by Reuters.
A jump in benchmark U.S. Treasury yields to 2007 levels before the Global Financial Crisis shows investors coming around to the view that even as the Federal Reserve’s hiking cycle campaign nears its end, rates will stay higher for longer. “We do not see any upside from here into year-end... but we think there is a good chance that equity markets move meaningfully below our year-end projections in the interim,” noted Marko Kolanovic, chief global market strategist at J.P. Morgan.
The S&P 500 index, up nearly 15% already this year but down over 4% this month, was forecast to end the year at 4,496, about 2.2% above Monday’s close of 4,399.77. The year-end forecast in February’s Reuters poll was 4,200.