Week 5 was another tough week for my college football betting model as it managed to go just 2-4, but I think it performed better than the number’s showed. If you pay attention to my “lines to watch” section,was an easy winner with a line that was available for almost the entire second half of the week last week. A few other plays that almost made the cut but didn’t ended up being winners but that’s how it works when betting on sports. Let’s hope we get back on track and win some this week.
Worst line to bet is the final number that I would make a bet at. For example, if I bet under 49.5 and the “worst line to bet” is 49 -110, I would not make that bet at 48.5 -110 or 49 -115. All bets are to win one unit on favorites and risk one unit on underdogs unless otherwise noted. All odds are from BetMGM and are locked when the pick was made.a little too much credit here. Whether the market is truly starting to believe in them or if the market is fading LSU off its horrendous defensive performance againstlast week, this number has gone a little too far for my liking. I think this is a nice buy-low spot on LSU.
Here is another team that I think is being undervalued by the market. It’s crazy to me that it’s Alabama. Sure,isn’t a polished passer and is prone to making some horrid mistakes but he’s going to be the best playmaker on the field in this game. Outside of a couple bad throws against, Milroe has actually been quite good this season and I think he’s better than he is being perceived. My model also loves this Alabama defense which can slow down this Aggie offense.