Wednesday marks the end of the first five trading days of 2025, an "early warning system" for how the month and the year could go, according to the Stock Trader's Almanac. Along with the Santa Claus Rally and the January Barometer, the First Five Days is part of a trifecta of signals during the first month that could indicate what's in store for the full year. In the last 48 years when the first five trading days were up, the market averaged a gain of 14.
December also was atypically a down month for the market. From the Dec. 31 close through the end of Tuesday's session, the S & P 500 was higher by about 0.5%. .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500 YTD In fact, investors remain positive that stocks could end 2025 with a sizable advance, though not to the extent of the previous year when the S & P 500 ended up 23%.
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