Less than five months later, the Nasdaq Composite COMP, -1.00% had plunged 21%, the S&P 500 index SPX, -0.53% had slumped 17%, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA, -0.47% had fallen 14.5%.
Yellow flag rising It’s all about sentiment. Investor are getting too bullish. That sounds like a good thing, right? After all, if investors are bullish that means the market will go up. Actually, though, it’s just the opposite. When investors are excessively bullish it means two things — both bad for stocks.
It certainly isn’t reassuring that we’re entering the most vulnerable time of year for stocks — August through the end of October. 2. Investors Intelligence surveys show that 58% of investment advisers are bullish. Anything above 60% is bearish. We’re close. 1. Raise cash. Cash is the cleanest defense against downturns. Plus it will be nice to have buying power in a pullback. Meanwhile, you won’t miss out on much in the way of stock gains. Business profitability, measured by return on equity, is elevated. This likely caps additional earnings upside, says Doll. And stocks appear fully valued. The upshot for him: Limited upside for stocks and more volatility ahead.
Lol
Keep starting new threads to reduce the negative comments... This is STILL Fear Marketing. Where is the “coming downturn”.
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